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    Tuesday, April 10, 2007
     

    BAUAW NEWSLETTER - TUESDAY, APRIL 10, 2007

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    ARTICLES IN FULL:
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    1) All That You Can Be
    Risk Management
    by Lauren Collins
    April 9, 2007
    http://www.newyorker.com/talk/2007/04/09/070409ta_talk_collins

    2) No hope in Guantánamo
    BY JOSHUA COLANGELO-BRYAN
    MIAMI HERALD
    Apr. 05, 2007
    http://www.miamiherald.com/851/v-print/story/64032.html

    3) WE'VE BEEN SURGING FOR YEARS
    By Don Monkerud
    TomPaine.com
    April 6, 2007
    http://www.tompaine.com/articles/2007/04/06/weve_been_surging_for_years.php

    4) Permanent drought predicted for Southwest
    "Study says global warming threatens to create a
    Dust Bowl-like period. Water politics could
    also get heated."
    By Alan Zarembo and Bettina Boxall
    Times Staff Writers
    April 6, 2007
    http://www.latimes.com/news/science/la-sci-swdrought6apr06,0,122112.story?coll=la-home-headlines

    5) Democrats at War
    WALL STREET JOURNAL
    EDITORIAL
    April 6, 2007; Page A10
    [Via Email from: Walter Lippmann
    walterlx@earthlink.net ...bw]

    6) Ford Pays Chief $28 Million for 4 Months’ Work
    By NICK BUNKLEY
    April 6, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/06/business/06ford.html?ref=businessspecial

    7) Comcast Chief Executive Receives $26 Million
    By GERALDINE FABRIKANT
    March 30, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/03/30/business/businessspecial/30comcast.pay.html?ex=1176091200&en=a355f91bce1d207c&ei=5070

    8) No Bonuses for Top G.M. Executives
    By NICK BUNKLEY
    March 29, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/03/29/business/businessspecial/29gmpay.html?ex=1176091200&en=b3bcb33a8bceaa23&ei=5070

    9) Cuban jet bombing suspect ordered free on bail in U.S.
    "Venezuela and Cuba want Luis Posada Carriles in a 1976 plane bombing
    that killed 73. But in this country, the former CIA operative
    is charged with lying to immigration officials."
    By Carol J. Williams
    Times Staff Writer
    April 7, 2007
    http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/asection/la-na-posada7apr07,1,7020766.story?coll=la-news-a_section

    10) City asks court to quit Abu-Jamal case
    By MARYCLAIRE DALE, Associated Press Writer1
    April 6, 2007
    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070406/ap_on_re_us/mumia_abu_jamal

    11) Hot and Cold
    Editorial
    April 8,2006
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/08/opinion/08sun1.html?hp

    12) Doctor’s Index Predicts Fate for Migrants in the Desert
    "...more than 100 adult male
    immigrants had died of heatstroke annually in Pima
    County."
    By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
    April 8, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/08/us/08immig.html

    13) Trail of Tears
    By ELIZABETH ROYTE
    (RE: THE LONG EXILE
    A Tale of Inuit Betrayal and Survival in the High Arctic.
    By Melanie McGrath.
    268 pp. Alfred A. Knopf. $24.95.)
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/08/books/review/Royte.t.html?_r=1&adxnnl=1&oref=slogin&adxnnlx=1176050987-kCJ3ZpwQ2uOi7Yadi5MjcA

    14) Sociable Darwinism
    By NATALIE ANGIER
    April 8, 2007
    (RE:EVOLUTION FOR EVERYONE
    How Darwin’s Theory Can Change the
    Way We Think About Our Lives.
    By David Sloan Wilson.
    390 pp. Delacorte Press. $24.)
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/08/books/review/Angier.t.html?ref=review

    15) Sweet Little Lies
    By PAUL KRUGMAN
    Op-Ed Columnist
    April 9, 2007
    http://select.nytimes.com/2007/04/09/opinion/09krugman.html?hp

    16) 6-Year-Olds Under Arrest
    By BOB HERBERT
    Op-Ed Columnist
    Avon Park, Fla.
    April 9, 2007
    http://select.nytimes.com/2007/04/09/opinion/09herbert.html?hp

    17) Guantánamo Detainees Stage Hunger Strike
    By TIM GOLDEN
    April 9, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/09/us/09hunger.html

    18) Army Is Cracking Down on Deserters
    By PAUL von ZIELBAUER
    April 9, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/09/us/09awol.html?ref=us

    19) CLOSE CONTACT
    To Woo Afghan Locals,
    U.S. Troops Settle In
    Tactic Wins Friends,
    Isolates Insurgents,
    But Boosts Casualties
    By MICHAEL M. PHILLIPS
    April 9, 2007; Page A1
    WALL STREET JOURNAL
    [VIA Email from: Walter Lippmann
    walterlx@earthlink.net ...bw]

    20) Crop Prices Soar,
    Pushing Up Cost
    Of Food Globally
    New Demand for Biofuels
    Feeds Inflation Pressure;
    China, India Feel Pinch
    By PATRICK BARTA
    April 9, 2007; Page A1
    The Wall Street Journal
    [VIA Email from: Walter Lippmann
    walterlx@earthlink.net ...bw]

    21) Injured troops shipped back into battle
    "Salon has uncovered further evidence that the military sent soldiers
    with acute post-traumatic stress disorder, severe back injuries and
    other serious war wounds back to Iraq."
    By Mark Benjamin
    April 9, 2007
    http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2007/04/09/injured_soldiers/print.html

    22) Huge Protest in Iraq Demands U.S. Withdraw
    By EDWARD WONG
    April 10, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/10/world/middleeast/10iraq.html?ref=world

    23) High Stakes: Chávez Plays the Oil Card
    “Chávez poses a much bigger threat to America’s energy
    security than Saddam Hussein ever did.”
    By SIMON ROMERO and CLIFFORD KRAUSS
    April 10, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/10/business/worldbusiness/10showdown.html

    24) General Wants Increased Troops Into Fall
    By THE NEW YORK TIMES
    April 10, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/10/world/middleeast/10troops.html

    25) U.S. Raid on an Immigrant Household
    Deepens Anger and Mistrust
    By NINA BERNSTEIN
    April 10, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/10/nyregion/10suffolk.html?ref=nyregion

    26) In East Harlem School Closing, Talk of a Class Divide
    By DAVID GONZALEZ
    April 10, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/10/nyregion/10citywide.html?ref=nyregion

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    1) All That You Can Be
    Risk Management
    by Lauren Collins
    April 9, 2007
    http://www.newyorker.com/talk/2007/04/09/070409ta_talk_collins

    In the wake of a rise in substantiated instances
    of misconduct by its recruiters, the United States
    military, it was reported last month, is considering
    installing surveillance cameras in its recruiting
    stations. The military may also want to assess the
    tactics that its employees use in the virtual realm.
    This admissions season, an Army recruiter has been
    e-mailing recent college graduates with the offer
    of hundreds of thousands of dollars in scholarship
    money to pay for medical school, in exchange for
    four years of service. Nothing new there. What’s
    surprising is his assertion to students that they
    would be better off in Baghdad than in Georgetown.

    Susan Kahane, who is twenty-two, graduated from
    Columbia last spring. When she took the MCAT,
    in August, she checked a box to signal that she
    wished to receive information about outside sources
    of financial aid. Soon, she was inundated with
    e-mails from the Army, the Navy, and the Air Force
    (“FREE MEDICAL SCHOOL!!!”). One, sent on January 31st
    by Captain Christopher D. Mayhugh, of the Army
    Medical Service Corps, stood out. “Upon finishing
    your residency,” the message read, “you will be
    assigned to one of a variety of locations including
    Germany, Italy and Hawaii and your obligation will
    be complete.” (The Medical Service Corps’s Web page,
    in contrast, notes prominently that its officers
    have participated in combat operations in Korea,
    Kosovo, Somalia, Panama, and Iraq.)

    Mayhugh’s omission of Iraq, Kahane recalled last week,
    “seemed a little bit strange.” Still, she said,
    “These e-mails were often slightly tempting to me,
    because of my worries about paying for medical school.”

    On March 14th, Kahane received another e-mail from
    Mayhugh, with the subject “Medical school scholarships
    still available.” This time, rather than invoking
    European and tropical destinations, Mayhugh addressed
    the prospect of being posted to a less than desirable
    locale. “What if you get sent to Iraq?” he wrote
    in the letter’s final paragraph. He continued:

    Well, consider this: there has been an average of
    160,000 troops in the Iraq theater of operations during
    the last 22 months, and a total of 2112 deaths, that
    gives a firearm death rate of 60 per 100,000. The rate
    in Washington, D.C. is 80.6 per 100,000. That means
    that you are about 25% more likely to be shot and
    killed in our Nation’s Capitol, which has some
    of the strictest gun control laws in the nation,
    than you are in Iraq.

    Kahane recalled, “After reading it once, I felt
    strongly that something was wrong, but I didn’t
    know what.” She looked up the figures and did the
    math herself, and found that all the statistics
    in the e-mail were either outdated or incorrect,
    and that, even if they had been correct, Mayhugh
    seemed to be comparing a yearly figure for Washington
    with a monthly one for Iraq. (Going by Mayhugh’s
    numbers, there would be nearly fifteen gun murders
    in Washington every day. In reality, there were
    about three murders, of any kind, per week in 2006.
    In the same period, an average of sixteen American
    troops died each week in Iraq.) Kimberly Thompson,
    an associate professor of risk analysis and decision
    science at Harvard’s School of Public Health, agreed,
    last week, to evaluate Mayhugh’s claim and found the
    discrepancy even starker. In her estimate, the risk
    of being killed in Iraq is ten times higher than
    the risk of being killed in Washington, D.C. “The
    recruiter’s e-mail message is really amazingly
    misleading,” she said.

    It turns out, as Kahane learned with a subsequent
    Google search, that “D.C. is more dangerous than
    Iraq” is a well-worn canard. Representative Steve
    King, a Republican from Iowa, promulgated a variation,
    involving his wife’s safety, last year on the floor
    of the House, while Mayhugh’s paragraph was plucked,
    verbatim, from an e-mail that circulated in 2005.
    The realization that Mayhugh’s message derived—one
    could see, with nominal research—from a Web fallacy
    was dispiriting to Kahane. She had written a letter
    to Mayhugh, but didn’t send it. “I thought, I guess
    he knows the math isn’t right, so what’s the point
    of telling him?” she said.

    Reached last week at his office in Maryland, Mayhugh
    stood by the e-mail, saying, “Most people’s perception
    of Iraq is that ‘Oh, my God, people are being murdered
    over there by the thousands.’ I think if you look at
    any type of situation where you have several hundred
    thousand people on the ground and now you throw in the
    fact that what they’re doing is dangerous and they
    have very big heavy vehicles and firearms with live
    ammunition, the number of people being killed over
    there is pretty small.”

    He acknowledged that the paragraph had come from
    a forwarded e-mail, but said that, before pasting
    it into his pitch, he had done “some simple calculations”
    that supported its conclusions. “In what I’ve seen
    in dealing with the war and the misperceptions of it,”
    he said, “it seemed to me like those would be the right
    numbers.” He went on, “I work in D.C. on a daily basis,
    and I’m afraid to get out of my car in a lot of places.
    I hear about police officers being murdered every day
    in D.C. and Baltimore. And I’ve had thousands of friends
    and colleagues go to Iraq and come back safely.”

    Illustration: TOM BACHTELL

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    2) No hope in Guantánamo
    BY JOSHUA COLANGELO-BRYAN
    MIAMI HERALD
    Apr. 05, 2007
    http://www.miamiherald.com/851/v-print/story/64032.html

    On Monday, I was at Guantánamo Bay to meet with Jumah
    Al Dossari, one of the detainees my firm represents.
    As always, I spent the first few hours of our meeting
    trying to convince Jumah to fight the desperation
    and hopelessness that threaten what little spirit
    he has left.

    Jumah has been at Guantánamo for more than five
    years. The government has never charged him with
    a crime and does not accuse him of taking any action
    against the United States. For several years, Jumah
    has been held alone in solid-wall cells from which
    he cannot see other detainees or communicate except
    by yelling. He has spent 22 to 24 hours a day by
    himself in these cells. He has been short shackled,
    threatened with death and, once, severly beaten.
    Interrogators have told him that he will be at
    Guantánamo for the next 50 years and that there
    is no law at Guantánamo.

    Sometimes the idea of spending the rest of his
    life locked up thousands of miles from his family
    is too much for Jumah. On Oct. 15, 2005, I walked
    into an interview room to visit him. There was
    blood on the floor. I looked up and saw Jumah
    hanging by his neck from the other side of a metal
    mesh wall that divided his cell from our meeting
    area. He was bleeding from a gash in his arm.

    I couldn't reach Jumah because the door to the
    cell was locked. I yelled for guards who came,
    unlocked the door and cut the noose from Jumah's
    neck. I was ordered out of the room but later learned
    that Jumah had survived. Since that day, Jumah
    has tried to kill himself three times. Last spring
    he slashed his throat with a razor, spraying blood
    on the ceiling of his cell.

    During our meeting on Monday, we talked about Jumah's
    court case, a bleak—and therefore dangerous—subject.
    I explained again that the Bush administration insists
    it may detain anyone it designates an ''enemy combatant''
    forever without a trial. I explained how Congress blessed
    that notion in last year's Military Commissions Act,
    which bars foreign ''enemy combatants'' from going to
    court to challenge that designation. I explained that
    lawyers for the detainees had challenged the act as
    unconstitutional, but that in February a federal appeals
    had ruled against us on the grounds that people like
    Jumah have no rights.

    Desperately wanting to boost his spirits, I also told
    Jumah that there was reason to be optimistic. We had
    asked the Supreme Court to review the appeals court
    decision and we felt pretty sure that our request
    would be granted. Were that to happen, Jumah might
    be a step closer to a court hearing.

    At noon, I went to the galley—as the cafeteria at
    Guantánamo is called—to get lunch for Jumah and myself.
    While waiting for a burger, I glanced up at a television
    tuned to CNN. Text ran across the bottom of the screen:
    ``Supreme Court refuses to hear Guantánamo detainee
    appeals until alternative procedures are exhausted.''

    Our request—the one reason I had given Jumah to be
    optimistic—had been denied. The Supreme Court was
    saying it might consider the detainees' cases, but
    not until the detainees subjected themselves
    to proceedings created by the Military Commissions Act.

    It is a disturbing ruling because the government
    says the purpose of these proceedings is not to
    determine if a detainee is actually an ''enemy combatant''
    but rather to determine if the military followed its own
    rules in applying the ''enemy combatant'' label. For that
    reason, detainees will have no chance to produce evidence
    of their innocence that the military didn't consider
    or to challenge the use of evidence obtained through
    torture. Worse yet, these procedures will be held
    before the same appeals court that recently found
    the detainees have no rights at all.

    I walked slowly back to the room where Jumah sat
    shackled. I wondered if there was a good way to tell
    a suicidal man that all three branches of our government
    appear content to let him rot at Guantánamo. Nothing
    came to mind.

    Maybe I shouldn't have worried. Jumah's reaction
    to bad legal news has become as muted as his emotions
    generally. He long ago stopped believing that a court
    will ever hear his case and thinks I'm naive for hoping
    otherwise. Instead, Jumah believes that he has been
    condemned to live forever on an island where there
    is no law. He may well be right.

    Joshua Colangelo-Bryan, an attorney, represents
    several Guantánamo detainees.

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    3) WE'VE BEEN SURGING FOR YEARS
    By Don Monkerud
    TomPaine.com
    April 6, 2007
    http://www.tompaine.com/articles/2007/04/06/weve_been_surging_for_years.php

    The number of U.S. forces involved in Iraq are at least twice the number
    quoted in the media. The administration uses a number of deceptions,
    definitional illusions and euphemisms -- including counting only "combat
    forces" and "military personnel" -- to drastically undercount the invasion
    force.

    Even President Bush's January announcement of a "surge" of 21,500 U.S.
    troops, opposed by the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has now morphed into 30,000
    troops with an additional "headquarters staff" of 3,000 -- or more than 50
    percent more than the official number. The currently reported total U.S.
    military in Iraq is 145,000, forces which are required to occupy a country
    slightly more than twice the size of Idaho.

    The real number is almost impossible to find in government-released
    information, even with a great amount of interpretation. It’s hidden
    because few in the administration want to disclose the true extent of vast
    U.S. resources invested in personnel, material, and other costs.

    GlobalSecurity.org is a public policy organization that provides
    background information on defense and homeland security. They note that
    keeping track of American forces has become "significantly more difficult
    as the military seeks to improve operational security and to deceive
    potential enemies and the media as to the extent of American operations."

    According to John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, there are a number
    of other reasons affecting the accurate counting of the number of military
    forces involved in Iraq. Large numbers of troops are activated with
    unspecified duties to unspecified areas; many small units from various
    locations are being mobilized from the Army and National Guard, which
    count units differently; and groups rotate in and out of Iraqi so quickly
    it's impossible for anyone but the Pentagon to calculate how many are
    there. The Pentagon tracks these numbers, but Pike says they aren't
    telling.

    "We only try to nail the numbers down when we think Americans are getting
    ready to blow someone up," Pike says. "The Pentagon knows the numbers and
    we have certainly not done anything to highball it. Certainly, if there's
    a chance to release or hold numbers, they are parsimonious."

    Additionally, private enterprise military "contractors" almost double the
    number of U.S. forces in Iraq. After four contractors were hung from a
    bridge in Fallujah in March 2004, the Bush administration stonewalled
    congressional efforts to force the Pentagon to release information about
    the number of contractors in Iraq. Finally, the Pentagon reported a total
    of 25,000.

    In "The Market for Force: The Consequences of Privatizing Security,"
    Deborah D. Avant, director for the Institute for Global and Internal
    Studies at George Washington University, reports that official numbers are
    difficult to find, but "This is the largest deployment of U.S. contractors
    in a military operation."

    In October, the military's first census of contractors totaled 100,000,
    not counting subcontractors. And in February 2007, the Associated Press
    reported 120,000 contractors (which would put Bush's "surge" closer to
    50,000). Contractors, which some call mercenaries, provide support
    services essential to maintaining the U.S. military presence in Iraq. Ten
    times the number of contractors employed during the Persian Gulf War,
    these contract mercenaries now cook meals, interrogate prisoners, fix flat
    tires, repair vehicles, and provide guard duty.

    Military personnel formerly filled these types of jobs until former
    Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld instituted his "Total Force" plan,
    which relies on a smaller U.S. military force with "its active and reserve
    military components, its civil servants, and its contractors." Senator
    Jim Webb of Virginia called this a "rent-an-army."

    What are the total of U.S. forces are in Iraq? The government reported
    145,000 U.S. military forces in Iraq, but John Pike estimates the current
    total at 150,000. Another 20,000 will arrive as part of the "surge," a
    last gasp public relations effort to save the operation from total
    failure.

    John Pike estimates another 30,000 are "in the theater" to provide
    "Operation Iraqi Freedom" support. The Army and Marines have another
    10,000 to 20,000 in Kuwait, and a nearby Air Force wing-bombing group has
    5,000. Current naval exercises in the Persian Gulf, which represents a
    show of force against Iran, include 10,000 U.S. personnel, the carrier
    groups Eisenhower and the Stennis, and 15 warships.

    Add the 120,000 contract mercenaries and the forces involved in the Iraqi
    operation and the total comes to 300,000 to 360,000, more than twice the
    "official" figure of 145,000 troops. This isn't counting the more than
    5,000 British combat troops and navy, down from a high of 40,000 during
    the initial invasion, or the ragtag remnants of the highly vaunted
    "Coalition of the Willing," which has dwindled since the beginning of the
    occupation to 27, mostly small, countries such as Armenia, Estonia,
    Moldavia, and Latvia.

    Manipulated figures and private military contractors provide the Bush
    Administration with political cover to escape public scrutiny and keep
    injuries, deaths, and secret operations out of the public eye. A more
    accurate and honest view of participation in the Iraqi occupation by the
    government could give Americans more reason to oppose the waste of lives
    and resources on this ill-conceived, poorly planned, and disastrous
    venture.

    --Don Monkerud is an California-based writer who follows cultural, social
    and political issues. He can be reached at monkerud@cruzio.com.


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    4) Permanent drought predicted for Southwest
    "Study says global warming threatens to create a
    Dust Bowl-like period. Water politics could
    also get heated."
    By Alan Zarembo and Bettina Boxall
    Times Staff Writers
    April 6, 2007
    http://www.latimes.com/news/science/la-sci-swdrought6apr06,0,122112.story?coll=la-home-headlines

    The driest periods of the last century ˜ the Dust
    Bowl of the 1930s and the droughts of the 1950s ˜
    may become the norm in the Southwest United
    States within decades because of global warming,
    according to a study released Thursday.

    The research suggests that the transformation may
    already be underway. Much of the region has been
    in a severe drought since 2000, which the study's
    analysis of computer climate models shows as the
    beginning of a long dry period.

    The study, published online in the journal
    Science, predicted a permanent drought by 2050
    throughout the Southwest ˜ one of the fastest-
    growing regions in the nation.

    The data tell "a story which is pretty darn scary
    and very strong," said Jonathan Overpeck, a
    climate researcher at the University of Arizona
    who was not involved in the study.

    Richard Seager, a research scientist at
    Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory at Columbia
    University and the lead author of the study, said
    the changes would force an adjustment to the
    social and economic order from Colorado
    to California.

    "There are going to be some tough decisions on
    how to allocate water," he said. "Is it going to
    be the cities, or is it going to be agriculture?"

    Seager said the projections, based on 19 computer
    models, showed a surprising level of agreement.
    "There is only one model that does not have
    a drying trend," he said.

    Philip Mote, an atmospheric scientist at the
    University of Washington who was not involved in
    the study, added, "There is a convergence of the
    models that is very strong and very worrisome."

    The future effect of global warming is the
    subject of a United Nations report to be released
    today in Brussels, the second of four installments
    being unveiled this year.

    The first report from the Intergovernmental Panel
    on Climate Change was released in February. It
    declared that global warming had become a
    "runaway train" and that human activities were
    "very likely" to blame.

    The landmark report helped shift the long and
    rancorous political debate over climate change
    from whether man-made warming was real to what
    could be done about it.

    The mechanics and patterns of drought in the
    Southwest have been the focus of increased
    scrutiny in recent years.

    During the last period of significant, prolonged
    drought ˜ the Medieval Climate Optimum from about
    the years 900 to 1300 ˜ the region experienced
    dry periods that lasted as long as 20 years,
    scientists say.

    Drought research has largely focused on the
    workings of air currents that arise from
    variations in sea-surface temperature in the
    Pacific Ocean known as El Niño and La Niña.

    The most significant in terms of drought is La
    Niña. During La Niña years, precipitation belts
    shift north, parching the Southwest.

    The latest study investigated the possibility of
    a broader, global climatic mechanism that could
    cause drought. Specifically, they looked at the
    Hadley cell, one of the planet's most powerful
    atmospheric circulation patterns, driving weather
    in the tropics and subtropics.

    Within the cell, air rises at the equator, moves
    toward the poles and descends over the subtropics.

    Increasing levels of greenhouse gases, the
    researchers said, warms the atmosphere, which
    expands the poleward reach of the Hadley cell.
    Dry air, which suppresses precipitation, then
    descends over a wider expanse of the
    Mediterranean region, the Middle East
    and North America.

    All of those areas would be similarly affected,
    though the study examined only the effect on
    North America in a swath reaching from Kansas to
    California and south into Mexico.

    The researchers tested a "middle of the road"
    scenario of future carbon dioxide emissions to
    predict rainfall and evaporation. They assumed
    that emissions would rise until 2050 and then
    decline. The carbon dioxide concentration in the
    atmosphere would be 720 parts per million in
    2100, compared with about 380 parts per million
    today.

    The computer models, on average, found about a
    15% decline in surface moisture ˜ which is
    calculated by subtracting evaporation from
    precipitation ˜ from 2021 to 2040, as compared
    with the average from 1950 to 2000.

    A 15% drop led to the conditions that caused the
    Dust Bowl in the Great Plains and the northern
    Rockies during the 1930s.

    Even without the circulation changes, global
    warming intensifies existing patterns of vapor
    transport, causing dry areas to get drier and wet
    areas to get wetter. When it rains, it is likely
    to rain harder, but scientists said that was
    unlikely to make up for losses from a shifting
    climate.

    Kelly Redmond, deputy director of the Western
    Regional Climate Center in Reno, who was not
    involved in the study, said he thought the region
    would still have periodic wet years that were
    part of the natural climate variation.

    But, he added, "In the future we may see fewer
    such very wet years."

    Although the computer models show the drying has
    already started, they are not accurate enough to
    know whether the drought is the result of global
    warming or a natural variation.

    "It's really hard to tell," said Connie
    Woodhouse, a paleoclimatologist at the University
    of Arizona. "It may well be one of the first
    events we can attribute to global warming."

    The U.S. and southern Europe will be better
    prepared to deal with frequent drought than
    most African nations.

    For the U.S., the biggest problem would be water
    shortages. The seven Colorado River Basin states
    ˜ Colorado, Wyoming, Utah, Nevada, New Mexico,
    Arizona and California ˜ would battle each other
    for diminished river flows.

    Mexico, which has a share of the Colorado River
    under a 1944 treaty and has complained of U.S.
    diversions in the past, would join the struggle.

    Inevitably, water would be reallocated from
    agriculture, which uses most of the West's
    supply, to urban users, drying up farms.
    California would come under pressure to build
    desalination plants on the coast, despite
    environmental concerns.

    "This is a situation that is going to cause water
    wars," said Kevin Trenberth, a scientist at the
    National Center for Atmospheric Research
    in Boulder, Colo.

    "If there's not enough water to meet everybody's
    allocation, how do you divide it up?"

    Officials from seven states recently forged an
    agreement on the current drought, which has left
    the Colorado River's big reservoirs ˜ Lake Powell
    and Lake Mead ˜ about half-empty. Without some
    very wet years, federal water managers say,
    Lake Mead may never refill.

    In the next couple of years, water deliveries may
    have to be reduced to Arizona and Nevada, whose
    water rights are second to California.

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    5) Democrats at War
    WALL STREET JOURNAL
    EDITORIAL
    April 6, 2007; Page A10
    [Via Email from: Walter Lippmann
    walterlx@earthlink.net ...bw]

    Democrats took Congress last fall in part by opposing the war in Iraq,
    but it is becoming clear that they view their election as a mandate for
    something far more ambitious -- to wit, promoting and executing their own
    foreign policy, albeit without the detail of a Presidential election.

    Their intentions were made plain this week with two remarkable acts by their
    House and Senate leaders. Majority Leader Harry Reid endorsed Senator Russ
    Feingold's proposal to withdraw from Iraq immediately, cutting off funds
    entirely within a year. He promised a vote soon, as part of what the
    Washington Post reported would also be a Democratic offensive to close
    Guantanamo, reinstate legal rights for terror suspects, and improve
    relations with Cuba.

    Meanwhile, Speaker Nancy Pelosi made her now famous sojourn to Syria,
    donning a head scarf and advertising that she was conducting shuttle
    diplomacy between Jerusalem and Damascus. If there was any doubt that her
    trip was intended as far more than a routine Congressional "fact-finding"
    trip, House Foreign Affairs Chairman Tom Lantos put it to rest by declaring
    that, "We have an alternative Democratic foreign policy. I view my job as
    beginning with restoring overseas credibility and respect for the United
    States."

    Americans should understand how extraordinary this is. There have been
    previous battles over U.S. foreign policy and fierce domestic criticism.
    In the 1990s, these columns defended Bill Clinton against "the Republican
    drift toward isolationism and political opportunism" amid the Kosovo
    conflict. But rarely in U.S. history have Congressional leaders sought to
    conduct their own independent diplomacy, with the Speaker acting as a Prime
    Minister traveling with a Secretary of State in the person of Mr. Lantos.

    Yes, Congressional Republicans have visited Syria too. But Ms. Pelosi isn't
    some minority back-bencher. Without a Democrat in the White House, she and
    Mr. Reid are the national leaders of their party. Even Newt Gingrich, for
    all his grand domestic ambitions in 1995, took a muted stand on foreign
    policy, realizing that in the American system the executive has the bulk of
    national security power. He also understood he would do the country no
    favors by sending a mixed message to our enemies -- at the time, Slobodan
    Milosevic.

    What was Ms. Pelosi hoping to accomplish, other than embarrassing President
    Bush? "We were very pleased with reassurances we received from the president
    that he was ready to resume the peace process," she told reporters after
    meeting with dictator Bashar Assad. "We expressed our interest in using our
    good offices in promoting peace between Israel and Syria."

    She purported to convey a message from Israel's Ehud Olmert expressing
    similar interest in "the peace process," except that the Israeli Prime
    Minister felt obliged to issue a clarification noting that Ms. Pelosi had
    got the message wrong. Israel hadn't changed its policy, which is that it
    will negotiate only when Mr. Assad repudiates his support for terrorism and
    stops trying to dominate Lebanon. As a shuttle diplomat, Ms. Pelosi needs
    some practice.

    Mr. Lantos probably got closer to their real intentions when he told
    reporters that "This is only the beginning of our constructive dialogue
    with Syria, and we hope to build on it." The Pelosi cavalcade is intended
    to show that if only the Bush Administration would engage in "constructive
    dialogue," the Syrians, Israelis and everyone else could all get along.

    This is the same Syrian regime that has facilitated the movement of money
    and insurgents to kill Americans in Iraq; that has been implicated by a U.N.
    probe in the murder of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri; and that
    has snubbed any number of U.S. overtures since the fall of Saddam Hussein in
    2003. Perhaps if he works hard enough, Mr. Lantos can match the 22 visits to
    Damascus that Bill Clinton's Secretary of State Warren Christopher made in
    the 1990s trying to squeeze peace from that same stone.

    In fact, Ms. Pelosi and Mr. Lantos both voted for the Syria Accountability
    and Lebanese Sovereignty Restoration Act of 2003 that ordered Mr. Bush to
    choose from a menu of six sanctions to impose on Damascus. Mr. Bush chose
    the weakest two sanctions and dispatched a new Ambassador to Syria in a
    goodwill gesture in 2004. Only later, in the wake of the Hariri murder and
    clear intelligence of Syria's role in aiding Iraqi Baathists, did Mr. Bush
    conclude that Mr. Assad's real goal was to reassert control over Lebanon and
    bleed Americans in Iraq.

    With her trip, Ms. Pelosi has now reassured the Syrian strongman that
    Mr. Bush lacks the domestic support to impose any further pressure on his
    country. She has also made it less likely that Mr. Assad will cooperate with
    the Hariri probe, or assist the Iraqi government in defeating Baathist and
    al Qaeda terrorists.
    * * *

    Back in Washington, Harry Reid says his response to Mr. Bush's certain veto
    of his Iraq spending bill will be to escalate. He now supports cutting off
    funds and beginning an immediate withdrawal, even as General David
    Petraeus's surge in Baghdad unfolds and shows signs of promise. If Mr. Bush
    were as politically cynical as Democrats think, he'd let Mr. Reid's policy
    become law. Then Democrats would share responsibility for whatever mayhem
    happened next.

    So this is Democratic foreign policy: Assure our enemies that they can
    ignore a President who still has 21 months to serve; and wash their hands of
    Baghdad and of their own guilt for voting to let Mr. Bush go to war. No
    doubt Democrats think the President's low job approval, and public
    unhappiness with the war, gives them a kind of political immunity. But we
    wonder.

    Once we leave Iraq, America's enemies will still reside in the Mideast; and
    they will be stronger if we leave behind a failed government and bloodbath
    in Iraq. Mr. Bush's successor will have to contain the damage, and that
    person could even be a Democrat. But by reverting to their Vietnam message
    of retreat and by blaming Mr. Bush for all the world's ills, Democrats on
    Capitol Hill may once again convince voters that they can't be trusted with
    the White House in a dangerous world.

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    6) Ford Pays Chief $28 Million for 4 Months’ Work
    By NICK BUNKLEY
    April 6, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/06/business/06ford.html?ref=businessspecial

    The Ford Motor Company paid its new chief executive,
    Alan R. Mulally, $28.18 million in his first four months
    on the job, the automaker said in a regulatory filing
    yesterday.

    His compensation included an $18.5 million bonus that
    Ford, which reported a record $12.7 billion loss last
    year, disclosed in September when it hired him from
    Boeing.

    Figures in Ford’s annual proxy statement show that his
    pay was more than three times that of any other executive
    at the company. That includes the executive chairman,
    William Clay Ford Jr., who has kept a 2005 promise not
    to accept any new salary, bonus or stock awards until
    Ford consistently earns a profit.

    The second-highest pay, $8.67 million, was also for only
    a few months’ work; it went to James J. Padilla, who
    retired as president and chief operating officer in July.

    Three executives received bonuses for their roles
    in reducing manufacturing capacity, cutting costs
    and achieving other goals as part of Ford’s overhaul
    plan, known as the Way Forward. The awards were part
    of a retention program that the company recently
    abandoned.

    Mark Fields, president of the Americas division, earned
    $2.29 million of his $5.57 million in total compensation
    from that program. Lewis W. K. Booth, executive vice
    president for Europe, received a $1.7 million retention
    incentive, while Don R. Leclair, Ford’s chief financial
    officer, received $1.32 million.

    Ford said it spent $517,560 to give Mr. Fields use
    of a company jet in 2006, a perk he stopped using
    in January after it received considerable negative
    publicity. Ford now buys first-class commercial airfares
    to fly Mr. Fields from company offices in Dearborn, Mich.,
    to his family’s home in South Florida each weekend.

    Executive compensation at all three Detroit automakers
    has been closely scrutinized since they began revamping
    plans that will close dozens of factories and eliminate
    tens of thousands of jobs. They are trying to overcome
    multibillion-dollar losses and compete better with
    foreign-based rivals like Toyota and Honda.

    This year, as the automakers negotiate a new labor
    agreement with the United Automobile Workers union,
    workers are certain to resist demands for concessions
    if they consider executive salaries to be excessive.

    Union members have criticized the awarding of restricted
    stock option bonuses to top executives at General Motors
    — although G.M. paid no cash bonuses for the second
    consecutive year — and a proposal at Ford to pay bonuses
    to executives there. Ford later announced a program
    to pay modest bonuses of at least $300 to all employees.

    Mr. Mulally earned a base salary of $666,667, or $2 million
    annualized. He was granted a $7.5 million signing bonus
    and $11 million to make up for bonuses and stock options
    he forfeited by leaving Boeing. Ford valued the stock and
    option awards he received last year at $8.68 million.

    In his final year at Boeing, where he headed the commercial
    airplanes division, Mr. Mulally earned a total
    of $9.96 million.

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    7) Comcast Chief Executive Receives $26 Million
    By GERALDINE FABRIKANT
    March 30, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/03/30/business/businessspecial/30comcast.pay.html?ex=1176091200&en=a355f91bce1d207c&ei=5070

    The Comcast Corporation, the nation’s largest cable company,
    paid its chief executive, Brian L. Roberts, a total
    of $26 million last year, according to its proxy
    statement released today.

    That figure included a salary of $2.5 million, a bonus
    of $3 million and other payments including a cash
    bonus of $8.4 million.

    Mr. Roberts’s pay exceeded by just $2 million that
    of his father, Ralph J. Roberts, who is chairman
    of the executive and finance committees.

    The pay package for Ralph Roberts, who was a founder
    of the company but is no longer its chief executive
    or chairman, has annoyed some investors over the years.
    Mr. Roberts, who is 87, earned a total of $24.1 million
    last year, a figure that included a salary of $1.8 million,
    an option award of $3.7 million and another payment
    of $10.3 million, which included $4.1 million related
    to life insurance premiums.

    David L. Cohen, the company’s executive vice president,
    defended the compensation structure. "Our compensation
    plan is carefully designed to align executive
    compensation with the company’s annual and long-term
    performance goals and with shareholder interests,”
    he wrote in an e-mail message.

    Comcast’s stock did better last year than it had done
    previously, rising from $17.48 a share at the beginning
    of the year to $28.22 a share at the end of the year.

    In 2005, Glass Lewis & Company, a research firm that
    advises institutional shareholders on governance issues,
    argued that Brian Roberts, his father and three top managers
    were grossly overpaid. At the time several investors said
    privately that they were particularly annoyed that Ralph
    Roberts continued to receive a lucrative pay package when
    he was no longer chairman. In 2005, Comcast stock declined
    21 percent. The company said that a portion of Ralph Roberts’
    pay was determined by arrangements made when he was the
    chief executive.

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    8) No Bonuses for Top G.M. Executives
    By NICK BUNKLEY
    March 29, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/03/29/business/businessspecial/29gmpay.html?ex=1176091200&en=b3bcb33a8bceaa23&ei=5070

    DETROIT, March 28 — General Motors, which significantly
    improved its financial performance in 2006 yet did not
    earn a profit, said on Wednesday that for a second
    consecutive year, it would not pay cash bonuses
    to top executives.

    Such bonuses would undoubtedly have rankled members
    of the United Automobile Workers union ahead of this
    summer’s contract talks, although a G.M. spokeswoman,
    Renee Rashid-Merem, declined to say whether the pending
    negotiations were a factor.

    “It’s a decision that’s made on an annual basis,”
    Ms. Rashid-Merem said. She added that the decision
    affected about 20 managers, including the chief
    executive, Rick Wagoner, and the vice chairman,
    Robert A. Lutz.

    Full details on executives’ compensation will be
    released next month when the company files its annual
    proxy statement.

    Last week, some U.A.W. members expressed anger
    after G.M. disclosed in regulatory filings that
    Mr. Wagoner and other top executives would receive
    bonuses in the form of restricted stock options.
    G.M. had not awarded stock options since 2003.

    The union, which concluded a two-day collective
    bargaining convention Wednesday in Detroit, also
    grew irritated recently when executives at the
    Ford Motor Company said they were considering
    management bonuses. Instead, Ford said it would
    give bonuses of at least $300 to all employees.

    Union members say the leaders of Detroit’s automakers
    should not receive incentives at a time that they
    are eliminating tens of thousands of jobs and
    cutting benefits for hourly workers and retirees.
    Ford lost $12.7 billion last year, while G.M.
    posted a $2 billion loss.

    G.M.’s decision to forgo cash bonuses this year,
    as it did in 2006 after the company lost $10.4 billion,
    was first reported Wednesday afternoon
    by Bloomberg News.

    During this week’s bargaining convention, the U.A.W.’s
    president, Ron Gettelfinger, repeatedly criticized
    executives at the Delphi Corporation, the auto supplier
    that declared bankruptcy in 2005, for collecting
    bonuses while trying to cut hourly workers’ pay
    and benefits. Delphi says the $37 million in incentive
    pay recently approved by a bankruptcy judge is necessary
    to keep top executives from leaving.

    Mr. Gettelfinger did not specifically disparage executives
    at the automakers, but he made clear that the union intended
    to vigorously fight any demands made during the contract
    talks that workers agree to concessions.

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    9) Cuban jet bombing suspect ordered free on bail in U.S.
    "Venezuela and Cuba want Luis Posada Carriles in a 1976 plane bombing
    that killed 73. But in this country, the former CIA operative
    is charged with lying to immigration officials."
    By Carol J. Williams
    Times Staff Writer
    April 7, 2007
    http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/asection/la-na-posada7apr07,1,7020766.story?coll=la-news-a_section

    MIAMI — A federal judge Friday ordered Cuban militant Luis Posada
    Carriles freed from a New Mexico jail, ruling he be allowed to live
    under electronic surveillance with his family in Miami while awaiting
    trial May 11 on charges of lying to immigration authorities.

    The move to free the 79-year-old, who is suspected of blowing up a
    Cuban airliner in 1976 and bombing Havana hotels in the late 1990s,
    sparked outrage in Cuba. The Communist Party newspaper Granma posted
    the news on its website under a headline that read: "Blackmail Gets
    Results."

    Posada has never been charged in U.S. courts in connection with those
    terrorist acts, his critics contend, because he likely threatened to
    disclose other violence committed during his decades of covert work
    with the CIA.

    A Bay of Pigs veteran who once served time in Panama for plotting to
    kill Cuban leader Fidel Castro, Posada has become a political
    conundrum for the Bush administration. The president and his
    Republican allies have benefited from the support of influential
    Cuban exiles in Miami, many of whom view Posada as a patriotic
    freedom fighter.

    Posada entered the United States illegally in March 2005, about eight
    months after he and three other Florida-based Cuban militants were
    pardoned on illegal weapons and conspiracy charges by outgoing
    Panamanian President Mireya Moscoso.

    The move came four years into Posada's eight-year sentence, and was
    seen as a favor to Bush, whose reelection in November 2004 was riding
    on the continued backing of Miami Cubans.

    The other three men, all U.S. citizens, arrived here to a hero's
    welcome while Posada — Cuban-born and Venezuela-naturalized — made
    his way home clandestinely. Posada held a Miami news conference,
    fueling foreign outcry that the U.S. government was providing refuge
    for a terrorist. He was arrested in May 2005. Cuba and Venezuela want
    Posada extradited to stand trial for the Cubana de Aviacion bombing
    that killed all 73 on board the Caracas to Havana flight.

    Posada escaped from prison in Venezuela in 1985 while he awaited a
    third trial in the jetliner bombing off Barbados. He was acquitted
    twice.

    After his 2005 arrest, Posada first was held in an immigration lockup
    in El Paso — where he told officials he had made his way to the
    United States with the help of a smuggler via Mexico and Texas.

    Cuban media, however, reported that Posada actually was picked up
    from Mexico's Yucatan peninsula by a shrimp boat owned by Cuban
    American developer Santiago Alvarez and brought to a Gulf Coast
    marina. Alvarez is in jail following a guilty plea on weapons
    violations charges.

    The El Paso immigration court ordered Posada deported in September
    2005, but U.S. authorities were unable to persuade any of the seven
    allied countries contacted to accept him. A federal judge ruled that
    he couldn't be extradited to Cuba or Venezuela because of the
    possibility he would be tortured or abused in the custody of those
    governments.

    Last fall, Posada's Miami lawyer, Eduardo Soto, filed a writ of
    habeas corpus seeking his release. Another Texas judge ordered the
    federal government to charge Posada with a crime by Feb. 1 or release
    him.

    Then a federal grand jury in January indicted Posada on immigration
    violations and transferred him to a prison in Otero County, N.M. —
    voiding the deadline by placing him in custody pending a criminal
    proceeding.

    On Friday, shortly before the court closed for Easter weekend, U.S.
    District Judge Kathleen Cardone in El Paso ordered Posada released.
    She did not address a government request to keep him jailed pending
    an appeal.

    Posada's El Paso attorney, Felipe D.J. Millan, could not be reached
    for comment. But he told the Associated Press it was unlikely Posada
    would be released over the holiday weekend.

    "He deserves to go home and live in peace and enjoy his family,"
    Millan said. "Obviously we'll do whatever we need to do to post bond.
    We'll try to get him [out] as soon as possible."

    Cardone's nine-page ruling required Posada to post a $250,000 bond,
    and mandated that his wife and two adult children put up $100,000
    bond to ensure their compliance with other conditions of his release,
    including 24-hour home confinement and wearing an electronic
    monitoring device.

    carol.williams@latimes.com

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    10) City asks court to quit Abu-Jamal case
    By MARYCLAIRE DALE, Associated Press Writer1
    April 6, 2007
    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070406/ap_on_re_us/mumia_abu_jamal

    Prosecutors want the entire 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals to recuse
    itself from the latest appeal for death-row inmate Mumia Abu-Jamal because
    Gov. Ed Rendell ˜ whose wife serves on the court ˜ was district attorney
    during his trial.

    Abu-Jamal, a former radio reporter and Black Panther, was convicted in
    1982 of killing a police officer. In his latest appeal, his attorneys say
    prosecutors practiced racial discrimination during jury selection; an
    allegation prosecutors deny.

    "Since Mr. Rendell was the elected district attorney at the time in
    question, and so would have been responsible for the supposed 'routine'
    racially discriminatory practices of Philadelphia prosecutors, Abu-Jamal's
    accusations necessarily implicate Mr. Rendell personally," Assistant
    District Attorney Hugh J. Burns Jr. wrote in a motion last week.

    A federal judge in 2001 overturned Abu-Jamal's death sentence but upheld
    his conviction. Both sides appealed that ruling to the 3rd Circuit, whose
    members include the governor's wife, Marjorie O. Rendell.

    Prosecutors could simply ask for Judge Rendell to recuse herself but they
    want to avoid any possible grounds for a future appeal.

    Abu-Jamal was convicted in the Dec. 9, 1981, shooting death officer Daniel
    Faulkner after the officer pulled over Abu-Jamal's brother. He remains on
    death row during the appeals.

    His writings and taped speeches on the justice system have made Abu-Jamal
    a popular figure among activists who believe he was the victim of a racist
    justice system. Abu-Jamal is black; Faulkner was white.

    Abu-Jamal's lawyer, Robert R. Bryan of San Francisco, opposes Byrne's
    motion, according to court records. He did not return telephone messages
    seeking comment.

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    11) Hot and Cold
    Editorial
    April 8,2006
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/08/opinion/08sun1.html?hp

    Last week began with a Supreme Court decision declaring
    that the federal government had the authority to regulate
    greenhouse gas emissions and all but ordering the Bush
    administration to do so. It ended with a report from
    the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — the
    world’s authoritative voice on global warming — warning
    that failure to contain these emissions will have
    disastrous environmental effects, especially in poorer
    countries, which are least able to defend themselves
    and their people against the consequences of climate
    change.

    One would hope that these events would shake President
    Bush out of his state of denial and add his authority
    to the chorus of governors, legislators and business
    leaders calling for an aggressive regulatory and
    technological response to the dangers of global warming.
    They haven’t. When asked about the Supreme Court decision,
    the president said he thought he was already doing enough.

    He argued further that there was little point in the
    United States’ doing any more unless other polluters
    like China acted as well. That ignores the reality
    that no developing country is going to move unless
    the United States — which produces one-fourth
    of the world’s emissions with only 5 percent
    of its population — takes the lead.

    The report from the intergovernmental panel was
    the second of three due this year. The first
    concluded with “90 percent certainty” that humans
    had caused the rise in atmospheric temperatures
    over the last half-century. The most recent
    focused on the consequences, few of them positive.

    The northern latitudes will have longer growing
    seasons. But elsewhere climate change will lead
    to more severe storms, the flooding of tropical
    islands and coastlines inhabited by hundreds of
    millions of people, the likely extinction of at
    least one-fourth of the world’s species and,
    in poorer countries in Asia and Africa, drought
    and hunger.

    Some of these changes have begun. “We’re no longer
    arm-waving with models,” said Martin Parry, the
    co-chairman of the team that wrote the report.
    But the report also makes clear that while
    emissions already accumulated in the atmosphere
    make some damage inevitable, the worst can be
    avoided if the world’s nations take swift action
    to stabilize and then reverse emissions.

    What must be avoided, the report said, is a rise
    of 3 to 5 degrees Fahrenheit, the point at which
    truly devastating effects will begin to kick in.
    But such a rise is almost inevitable over the
    next century if the world continues to do
    business as usual.

    The panel’s next paper will discuss alternatives
    to business as usual. These policies will almost
    certainly require a major shift in the way energy
    is produced and used, as well as massive investments
    in new technologies. They will also be expensive.
    But what the world’s scientists are telling us,
    with increasing confidence, is that the costs
    of doing nothing will be far greater than the
    costs of acting now.

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    12) Doctor’s Index Predicts Fate for Migrants in the Desert
    "...more than 100 adult male
    immigrants had died of heatstroke annually in Pima
    County."
    By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
    April 8, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/08/us/08immig.html

    TUCSON, April 7 (AP) — An emergency room physician
    has devised a scientific index to predict the likelihood
    that illegal immigrants will die while walking through
    the Arizona desert in extreme heat conditions.

    The physician, Dr. Samuel Keim, concluded that the
    probability of death reached 50 percent when the
    temperature climbed to 104 degrees.

    “It’s like a weather forecast,” said the Rev. Robin
    Hoover, whose Humane Borders group maintains water
    stations at desert sites in southern Arizona and
    northern Mexico. “If he can forecast it to the
    U.S. Border Patrol, more of their agents can be
    scattered out looking for people in trouble.”

    Dr. Keim said he hoped to begin issuing daily
    forecasts by May, but he had not determined how
    to disseminate the information and with whom
    to share it.

    “We’re still negotiating that with various different
    entities,” he said, declining to give specifics
    because of worries that the intense political
    debate surrounding illegal immigration could
    scare off participants.

    Deaths of migrants on the Arizona-Mexico border
    have soared in recent years as tighter border
    security sends people to more-remote desert
    areas. Some migrants cross 50 or more miles
    of desert.

    In July 2005, Border Patrol agents recovered
    72 dead illegal immigrants in the agency’s
    Tucson sector. Nearly all died from heat
    exposure.

    Ron Bellavia, commander of the Border Patrol’s
    rescue operations in the Tucson area, said
    an index like Dr. Keim’s “would be an appropriate
    measure to probably reduce exposure or
    environmental injuries.”

    The forecasts could also be shared with groups
    near Mexican migrant-staging areas, where the
    warnings could be posted, Mr. Hoover said.

    For years, the Border Patrol and the Mexican
    government have issued announcements about the
    desert’s heat-related perils, but Dr. Keim said
    he did not know whether migrants read or heeded
    them.

    Dr. Keim matched heatstroke victims with dates
    of death and desert temperatures using data
    collected from 2002 to 2006 in Pima County.

    Dr. Keim, an associate professor at the University
    of Arizona and an emergency room physician in Tucson,
    said that in recent years more than 100 adult male
    immigrants had died of heatstroke annually in Pima
    County.

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    13) Trail of Tears
    By ELIZABETH ROYTE
    (RE: THE LONG EXILE
    A Tale of Inuit Betrayal and Survival in the High Arctic.
    By Melanie McGrath.
    268 pp. Alfred A. Knopf. $24.95.)
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/08/books/review/Royte.t.html?_r=1&adxnnl=1&oref=slogin&adxnnlx=1176050987-kCJ3ZpwQ2uOi7Yadi5MjcA

    Throughout human history, seemingly simple turns of events
    have changed the fates of individuals and nations. In 1906,
    Thomas Watt Coslett invented a way to keep iron corset
    stays from rusting, and the bottom fell out of the
    whale-bone market. The whalers who remained on the
    eastern shore of Hudson Bay switched to trading for
    the creamy pelts of the Arctic fox, which local Inuit,
    on the Ungava Peninsula, began to trap in ever greater
    numbers. But when prices for skins fell in 1950, at
    a time when fox populations had also crashed, trappers —
    formerly subsistence hunters — moved to trading posts
    and begged rations from the Canadian police.

    Meanwhile the cold war raged, and the Canadian
    government became increasingly concerned about
    its sovereignty in the east Arctic archipelago.
    The United States and Canada jointly ran a weather
    station on Ellesmere Island, but Canadian officials
    wanted permanent residents there. The remedy to both
    the geopolitical and welfare problems was simple:
    uproot the Ungava Inuit and plant them 1,200 miles
    north, on Ellesmere. In “The Long Exile,” Melanie
    McGrath tells the story of this forced relocation —
    a tale of almost unrelenting horror — with so much
    moral vigor and descriptive verve that one quits
    reading only long enough to shake one’s head in
    disbelief. And then, with a shiver, reads on.

    To succeed on Hudson Bay, the Inuit needed to know
    everything about their immediate surroundings: the
    landmarks, the animals’ travel and migration routes,
    the location of fresh-water springs, berries, bird
    eggs and willow-worm cocoons to dip into seal fat
    for dinner. Describing the land’s natural features
    with lyrical precision, McGrath emphasizes that
    the harsh physical realities of this place shaped
    not only how the Inuit lived but also their
    personalities, making a strong case that psychology
    is destiny. At one time, expressing rage, lust or
    ambition were considered so threatening to Inuit
    group survival that persistent offenders were
    banished. But while serenity and self-restraint
    were adaptive in the Inuit’s ancestral environment,
    their unwillingness to speak out, on Ellesmere,
    would almost kill them.

    It was the late summer of 1953 when the Canadian
    government deposited three reluctant Inuit families,
    including a master carver named Paddy Aqiatusuk,
    on a narrow Ellesmere beach. They had been promised
    abundant game and a return ticket in one year’s
    time if they were unhappy. They were, in fact,
    instantly miserable.

    At 81 degrees north latitude, Ellesmere is, McGrath
    notes, the harshest terrain that humans have ever
    continuously inhabited. A high arctic desert, its
    interior is “an impenetrable mass of frozen crags
    and deep fjords.” The Inuit soon learned that marine
    mammals were scarce, as were caribou, fox and fresh
    water. Their clothing wasn’t warm enough, and their
    sleds and harnesses were all wrong for the rocky
    terrain. The rough waters made hunting by kayak
    impossible, and the dry wind made their dogs’ lungs
    bleed. Sufficient snow for snow houses arrived late,
    leaving the settlers in flimsy canvas tents until
    late winter. There wasn’t enough fuel for fires.
    The air was almost 30 degrees colder than back home,
    and the near constant wind made it feel more than
    50 degrees worse. Four months of darkness “made
    hunting an almost daily terror,” McGrath writes.
    Ellesmere supported a small musk ox population,
    but the police detachment, 40 miles from the Inuit
    encampment, forbade killing them. The starving
    Inuit ate bird feathers, made broth from boot
    liners. “The children leaked diarrhea then vomit
    which the women in the camp fed to the dogs rather
    than have it go to waste.”

    Too reticent to complain, even when to save her
    family from starvation, Aqiatusuk’s 6-year-old
    granddaughter was forced onto the ice to hunt in
    total darkness, the Inuit persevered. When they
    finally screwed up their courage and asked to go
    home, the police refused. It was logistically
    complicated: the Inuit must cope. Government careers
    were on the line: the colony had to succeed. Its
    inhabitants were the equivalent of national flags
    fluttering in the wind.

    McGrath, wickedly talented, brings every bit of
    this to life (helped by her Inuit subjects’
    preternatural memory for details). We hear the
    gnash of the ice (“a terrible, raw, geologic sound”),
    feel the pangs of hunger and thirst. We feel, too,
    the Inuit’s aching sense of abandonment and betrayal,
    their utter disorientation in a land where they knew
    nothing of the animal routes, the sea’s eddies and
    currents or the habits of wind and ice. Such details
    are not a matter of comfort, they are a matter
    of survival. McGrath is a meticulous researcher
    — she took the trouble to learn the names and
    colors of lichens that grow on rocks beneath
    bird colonies and fox lookouts — and she writes
    as if she’d lived in the Arctic for years. The
    book moves quickly, to a drumbeat of doom. As
    the Inuit approach their new home, “the frail
    summer had already begun to sicken and the sky
    pressed down on the land like a dead hand.”

    McGrath, who has written three previous books,
    is smart to focus on Aqiatusuk and his extended
    family. They humanize her tale, which includes
    a history of exploration in the eastern Canadian
    Arctic and of the relentless exploitation of Inuits
    by whites. Aqiatusuk was the adoptive father of
    a boy named Josephie, whose real father was the
    American Robert Flaherty, the director of “Nanook
    of the North.” Filmed on the Ungava Peninsula
    in the 1920s, the so-called documentary idealized
    the Inuit as innocents in an unblemished land.
    The movie colored the Western view of Inuit life
    in the Arctic for generations as it traveled the
    globe winning prizes, immortalizing a world that
    never existed. Actually, the Inuit way of life
    was already tainted by white fur traders by the
    time Flaherty arrived (he himself was financially
    backed by a trader), and the film’s starring family
    was entirely contrived, just like the settlement
    on Ellesmere, a place with no history or purpose
    beyond politics. According to McGrath, Flaherty
    made Nanook out of admiration for the Inuit’s “raw
    unquestioning confidence,” qualities shattered by
    the move to Ellesmere. As an adult, Josephie Flaherty,
    whose mother starred in “Nanook” (and cohabited
    with Flaherty), would follow Aqiatusuk to Ellesmere
    and die there, a broken man. But his daughter Martha,
    the child hunter and granddaughter of Robert Flaherty,
    eventually escaped and later forced the Canadian
    government to reckon with its crimes.

    As the years wore on, the Inuit gradually learned
    how to survive on Ellesmere. They constructed huts
    from scrap wood, revamped their sleds and dog harnesses.
    They learned the beluga’s migration route and would
    eventually hunt over a range of 6,864 square miles
    each year. In 1962, the government sent a teacher
    to the island, but only two school books: one on
    how to run a bank, the other called “The Roads
    of Texas.”

    Forty years after the first families left Ungava
    for Ellesmere, the Canadian government held hearings
    to investigate the relocation program. At its conclusion,
    the Royal Commission on Aboriginal Peoples called
    the relocation “one of the worst human rights violations
    in the history of Canada.” The country was shocked
    by the abuse and arrogance of its leaders, who
    eventually made financial reparations of 10 million
    Canadian dollars to the survivors and their families.
    But the government has yet to apologize.

    Elizabeth Royte, whose “Garbage Land: On the Secret
    Trail of Trash,” has recently been published
    in paperback, is a frequent contributor to the Book Review.

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    14) Sociable Darwinism
    By NATALIE ANGIER
    April 8, 2007
    (RE:EVOLUTION FOR EVERYONE
    How Darwin’s Theory Can Change the
    Way We Think About Our Lives.
    By David Sloan Wilson.

    390 pp. Delacorte Press. $24.
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/08/books/review/Angier.t.html?ref=review

    Just as in the classic clashes of nature, where every
    mutational upgrade in a carnivore’s strength or cunning
    is soon countered by a speedier or more paranoid model
    of antelope, so the pitched struggle between evolutionary
    theory and its deniers has yielded a bristling diversity
    of ploys and counterploys. The heavyhanded biblical
    literalism of creationist science evolves into the
    feints and curlicues of intelligent design, and the
    casual dismissiveness with which scientists long
    regarded the anti-evolutionists gives way to a belated
    awareness that, gee, the public doesn’t seem to realize
    how fatuous the other side is, and maybe it’s time
    to combat the creationist phylum head on. And so,
    over the last few years, scientists have unleashed
    a blitzkrieg of books in defense of Darwinism,
    summarizing the Everest of supportive evidence
    for evolutionary theory, filleting the arguments
    of the naysayers or reciting, yet again, the story
    of Charles Darwin, depressive naturalist extraordinaire,
    whose increasingly pervasive avuncular profile has
    lofted him to logo status on par with Einstein and
    the Nike swoosh.

    David Sloan Wilson, an evolutionary biologist at
    Binghamton University, takes a different and decidedly
    refreshing approach. Rather than catalog its successes,
    denounce its detractors or in any way present
    evolutionary theory as the province of expert tacticians
    like himself, Wilson invites readers inside and shows
    them how Darwinism is done, and at lesson’s end urges
    us to go ahead, feel free to try it at home. The result
    is a sprightly, absorbing and charmingly earnest book
    that manages a minor miracle, the near-complete
    emulsifying of science and the “real world,” ingredients
    too often kept stubbornly, senselessly apart. Only when
    Wilson seeks to add religion to the mix, and to show
    what natural, happy symbionts evolutionary biology
    and religious faith can be, does he begin to sound
    like a corporate motivational speaker or a political
    candidate glad-handing the crowd.

    In Wilson’s view, Darwin’s theory of evolution by
    natural selection has the beauty of being both
    simple and profound. Unlike quantum mechanics or
    the general theory of relativity, the basic concepts
    behind evolutionary theory are easy to grasp; and
    once grasped, he argues, they can be broadly applied
    to better understand ourselves and the world — the
    world both as it is and as it might be, with the
    right bit of well-informed coaxing. Wilson has long
    been interested in the evolution of cooperative and
    altruistic behavior, and much of the book is devoted
    to the premise that “goodness can evolve, at least
    when the appropriate conditions are met.” As he sees
    it, all of life is characterized by a “cosmic” struggle
    between good and evil, the high-strung terms we apply
    to behaviors that are either cooperative or selfish,
    civic or anomic. The constant give-and-take between
    me versus we extends down to the tiniest and most
    primal elements of life. Short biochemical sequences
    may want to replicate themselves ad infinitum, their
    neighboring sequences be damned; yet genes get together
    under the aegis of cells and reproduce in orderly
    fashion as genomes, as collectives of sequences,
    setting aside some of their immediate selfish urges
    for the sake of long-term genomic survival. Cells
    further collude as organs, and organs pool their
    talents and become bodies. The conflict between being
    well behaved, being good, not gulping down more than
    your share, and being selfish enough to get your fair
    share, “is eternal and encompasses virtually all species
    on earth,” he writes, and it likely occurs on any other
    planet that supports life, too, “because it is predicted
    at such a fundamental level by evolutionary theory.”
    How do higher patterns of cooperative behavior emerge
    from aggregates of small, selfish units? With carrots,
    sticks and ceaseless surveillance. In the human body,
    for example, nascent tumor cells arise on a shockingly
    regular basis, each determined to replicate without
    bound; again and again, immune cells attack the
    malignancies, destroying the outlaw cells and themselves
    in the process. The larger body survives to breed, and
    hence spawn a legacy far sturdier than any tumor mass
    could manage.

    As with our bodies, so with our behaviors. Wilson
    explores the many fascinating ways in which humans
    are the consummate group-thinking, team-playing animal.
    The way we point things out to one another, for example,
    is unique among primates. “Apes raised with people
    learn to point for things that they want but never
    point to call the attention of their human caretakers
    to objects of mutual interest,” Wilson writes, “something
    that human infants start doing around their first birthday.”
    The eyes of other apes are dark across their entire span
    and thus are hard to follow, but the contrast between
    the white sclera and colored iris of the human eye makes
    it difficult for people to conceal the direction in which
    they are looking. In the interdependent, egalitarian
    context of the tribe, the ancestral human setting,
    Wilson says, “it becomes advantageous for members
    of the team to share information, turning the eyes
    into organs of communication in addition to organs
    of vision.” Humans are equipped with all the
    dispositional tools needed to establish and maintain
    order in the commons. Studies have revealed a deep
    capacity for empathy, a willingness to trust others
    and become instant best friends; and an equally
    strong urge to punish cheaters, to exact revenge
    against those who buck group rules for private gain.

    Of course, even as humans bond together in groups
    and behave with impressive civility toward their
    neighbors, they are capable of treating those outside
    the group with ruthless savagery. Wilson is not naïve,
    and he recognizes the ease with which humans fall into
    an us-versus-them mind-set. Yet he is a self-described
    optimist, and he believes that the golden circles
    of we-ness, the conditions that encourage entities
    at every stratum of life to stop competing and instead
    pool their labors into a communally acting mega-entity,
    can be expanded outward like ripples on a pond until
    they encompass all of us — that the entire human race
    can evolve the culturally primed if not genetically
    settled incentive to see our futures for what they are,
    inexorably linked on the lone blue planet we share.

    Toward the end of the book he offers a series of
    evolutionarily informed suggestions on how we might
    help widen the geometry of good will, beginning with
    the italicized, boldface pronouncement that “we are
    not fated by our genes to engage in violent conflict.”
    Our bloody past does not foretell an inevitably bloody
    future, and violent behaviors that make grim sense
    in one context can become maladaptive in another.
    “The Vikings of Iceland were among the fiercest people
    on earth, and now they are the most peaceful,” he
    observes. “In principle, it is possible to completely
    eliminate violent conflict by eliminating its preferred
    ‘habitat.’ ” For their universal appeal and basal power
    to harmonize a crowd, he recommends more music and
    dancing and asks, “Could we establish world peace if
    everyone at the United Nations showed up in leotards?”
    He also believes that the world’s religions should
    be tapped for their “wisdom.” This is a fine idea
    in the abstract, but given current events and the
    fissuring of the world along so many theo-sectarian
    lines, I wish we could forgo the sermon and just
    strike up the band.

    Natalie Angier is a science columnist for The Times.
    Her latest book, “The Canon: A Whirligig Tour Through
    the Beautiful Basics of Science,” will be published in May.

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    15) Sweet Little Lies
    By PAUL KRUGMAN
    Op-Ed Columnist
    April 9, 2007
    http://select.nytimes.com/2007/04/09/opinion/09krugman.html?hp

    Four years into a war fought to eliminate a nonexistent
    threat, we all have renewed appreciation for the power
    of the Big Lie: people tend to believe false official
    claims about big issues, because they can’t picture their
    leaders being dishonest about such things.

    But there’s another political lesson I don’t think has
    sunk in: the power of the Little Lie — the small accusation
    invented out of thin air, followed by another, and another,
    and another. Little Lies aren’t meant to have staying power.
    Instead, they create a sort of background hum, a sense that
    the person facing all these accusations must have done
    something wrong.

    For a long time, basically from 9/11 until the last remnants
    of President Bush’s credibility drowned in New Orleans,
    the Bush administration was able to go big on its deceptions.
    Most people found it inconceivable that an American president
    would, for example, assert without evidence that Saddam and
    Al Qaeda were allies. Mr. Bush won the 2004 election because
    a quorum of voters still couldn’t believe he would grossly
    mislead them on matters of national security.

    Before 9/11, however, the right-wing noise machine mainly
    relied on little lies. And now it has returned to its roots.

    The Clinton years were a parade of fake scandals: Whitewater,
    Troopergate, Travelgate, Filegate, Christmas-card-gate.
    At the end, there were false claims that Clinton staff
    members trashed the White House on their way out.

    Each pseudoscandal got headlines, air time and finger-wagging
    from the talking heads. The eventual discovery in each
    case that there was no there there, if reported at all,
    received far less attention. The effect was to make
    an administration that was, in fact, pretty honest and
    well run — especially compared with its successor —
    seem mired in scandal.

    Even in the post-9/11 environment, little lies never
    went away. In particular, promoting little lies seems
    to have been one of the main things U.S. attorneys,
    as loyal Bushies, were expected to do. For example,
    David Iglesias, the U.S. Attorney in New Mexico,
    appears to have been fired because he wouldn’t bring
    unwarranted charges of voter fraud.

    There’s a lot of talk now about a case in Wisconsin,
    where the Bush-appointed U.S. attorney prosecuted the
    state’s purchasing supervisor over charges that a court
    recently dismissed after just 26 minutes of oral
    testimony, with one judge calling the evidence “beyond
    thin.” But by then the accusations had done their job:
    the unjustly accused official had served almost four
    months in prison, and the case figured prominently
    in attack ads alleging corruption in the Democratic
    governor’s administration.

    This is the context in which you need to see the wild
    swings Republicans have been taking at Nancy Pelosi.

    First, there were claims that the speaker of the House
    had demanded a lavish plane for her trips back to
    California. One Republican leader denounced her
    “arrogance of extravagance” — then, when it became
    clear that the whole story was bogus, admitted that
    he had never had any evidence.

    Now there’s Ms. Pelosi’s fact-finding trip to Syria,
    which Dick Cheney denounced as “bad behavior” — unlike
    the visit to Syria by three Republican congressmen
    a few days earlier, or Newt Gingrich’s trip to
    China when he was speaker.

    Ms. Pelosi has responded coolly, dismissing the
    administration’s reaction as a “tantrum.” But it’s
    more than that: the hysterical reaction to her trip
    is part of a political strategy, aided and abetted
    by news organizations that give little lies their
    time in the sun.

    Fox News, which is a partisan operation in all but
    name, plays a crucial role in the Little Lie strategy
    — which is why there is growing pressure on Democratic
    politicians not to do anything, like participating
    in Fox-hosted debates, that helps Fox impersonate
    a legitimate news organization.

    But Fox has had plenty of help. Even Time’s Joe Klein,
    a media insider if anyone is, wrote of the Pelosi trip
    that “the media coverage of this on CNN and elsewhere
    has been abysmal.” For example, CNN ran a segment about
    Ms. Pelosi’s trip titled “Talking to Terrorists.”

    The G.O.P.’s reversion to the Little Lie technique
    is a symptom of political weakness, of a party reduced
    to trivial smears because it has nothing else to offer.
    But the technique will remain effective — and the U.S.
    political scene will remain ugly — as long as many
    people in the news media keep playing along.

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    16) 6-Year-Olds Under Arrest
    By BOB HERBERT
    Op-Ed Columnist
    Avon Park, Fla.
    April 9, 2007
    http://select.nytimes.com/2007/04/09/opinion/09herbert.html?hp

    When 6-year-old Desre’e Watson threw a tantrum in her
    kindergarten class a couple of weeks ago she could not
    have known that the full force of the law would be
    brought down on her and that she would be carted off
    by the police as a felon.

    But that’s what happened in this small, backward city
    in central Florida. According to the authorities,
    there were no other options.

    “The student became violent,” said Frank Mercurio,
    the no-nonsense chief of the Avon Park police.
    “She was yelling, screaming — just being
    uncontrollable. Defiant.”

    “But she was 6,” I said.

    The chief’s reply came faster than a speeding bullet:
    “Do you think this is the first 6-year-old we’ve
    arrested?”

    The child’s tantrum occurred on the morning of March 28
    at the Avon Elementary School. According to the police
    report, “Watson was upset and crying and wailing and
    would not leave the classroom to let them study, causing
    a disruption of the normal class activities.”

    After a few minutes, Desre’e was, in fact, taken to
    another room. She was “isolated,” the chief said.
    But she would not calm down. She flailed away at the
    teachers who tried to control her. She pulled one
    woman’s hair. She was kicking.

    I asked the chief if anyone had been hurt. “Yes,”
    he said. At least one woman reported “some redness.”

    After 20 minutes of this “uncontrollable” behavior,
    the police were called in. At the sight of the two
    officers, Chief Mercurio said, Desre’e “tried to
    take flight.”

    She went under a table. One of the police officers
    went after her. Each time the officer tried to grab
    her to drag her out, Desre’e would pull her legs
    away, the chief said.

    Ultimately the child was no match for Avon Park’s
    finest. The cops pulled her from under the table
    and handcuffed her. The officers were not fooling
    around. In the eyes of the cops the 6-year-old was
    a criminal, and in Avon Park she would be treated
    like any other felon.

    There was a problem, though. The handcuffs were
    not manufactured with kindergarten kids in mind.
    The chief explained: “You can’t handcuff them on
    their wrists because their wrists are too small,
    so you have to handcuff them up by their biceps.”

    As I sat listening to Chief Mercurio in a spotless,
    air-conditioned conference room at the Avon Park
    police headquarters, I had the feeling that I had
    somehow stumbled into the middle of a skit on
    “Saturday Night Live.” The chief seemed like the
    most reasonable of men, but what was coming out
    of his mouth was madness.

    He handed me a copy of the police report: black
    female. Six years old. Thin build. Dark complexion.

    Desre’e was put in the back of a patrol car and
    driven to the police station. “Then,” said Chief
    Mercurio, “she was transported to central booking,
    which is the county jail.”

    The child was fingerprinted and a mug shot was taken.
    “Those are the normal procedures for anyone who
    is arrested,” the chief said.

    Desre’e was charged with battery on a school official,
    which is a felony, and two misdemeanors: disruption
    of a school function and resisting a law enforcement
    officer. After a brief stay at the county jail,
    she was released to the custody of her mother.

    The arrest of this child, who should have been placed
    in the care of competent, comforting professionals
    rather than being hauled off to jail, is part of
    an outlandish trend of criminalizing very young
    children that has spread to many school districts
    and law enforcement agencies across the country.

    A highly disproportionate number of those youngsters,
    like Desre’e, are black. In Baltimore last month,
    the police arrested, handcuffed and hauled away
    a 7-year-old black boy for allegedly riding a dirt
    bike on the sidewalk. The youngster was released
    and the mayor, Sheila Dixon, apologized for the
    incident, saying the arrest was inappropriate.

    Last spring a number of civil rights organizations
    collaborated on a study of disciplinary practices
    in Florida schools and concluded that many of them,
    “like many districts in other states, have turned
    away from traditional education-based disciplinary
    methods — such as counseling, after-school detention,
    or extra homework assignments — and are looking
    to the legal system to handle even the most minor
    transgressions.”

    Once you adopt the mindset that ordinary childhood
    misbehavior is criminal behavior, it’s easy to start
    seeing young children as somehow monstrous.

    “Believe me when I tell you,” said Chief Mercurio,
    “a 6-year-old can inflict injury to you just
    as much as any other person.”

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    17) Guantánamo Detainees Stage Hunger Strike
    By TIM GOLDEN
    April 9, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/09/us/09hunger.html

    A long-term hunger strike has broken out at the American
    detention center at Guantánamo Bay, Cuba, with more than
    a dozen prisoners subjecting themselves to daily force-
    feeding to protest their treatment, military officials
    and lawyers for the detainees say.

    Lawyers for several hunger strikers said their clients’
    actions were driven by harsh conditions in a new maximum
    security complex. About 160 of the roughly 385 Guantánamo
    detainees have been moved to the complex since December.

    Thirteen detainees are now on hunger strikes, the largest
    number to endure the force-feeding regimen on an extended
    basis since early 2006, when the military broke a long-
    running strike with a new policy of strapping prisoners
    into restraint chairs while they are fed by plastic
    tubes inserted through their nostrils.

    The hunger strikers are now monitored so closely that
    they have virtually no chance to starve themselves.
    Yet their persistence underscores how the struggle
    between detainees and guards at Guantánamo has
    continued even as the military has tightened its
    control in the past year.

    “We don’t have any rights here, even after your Supreme
    Court said we had rights,” one hunger striker, Majid
    al-Joudi, told a military doctor, according to medical
    records released recently under a federal court order.
    “If the policy does not change, you will see a big
    increase in fasting.”

    A military spokesman at Guantánamo, Cmdr. Robert Durand
    of the Navy, played down the significance of the current
    strike, calling the prisoners’ complaints “propaganda.”

    But the protests come as criticism of Guantánamo
    continues to rise in the United States and abroad. Last
    week, after the Supreme Court denied a new appeal
    on behalf of the detainees, the head of the International
    Committee of the Red Cross delivered a rare public
    reprimand to the Bush administration, saying the
    prisoners’ ability to contest their detention was
    inadequate.

    Newly released Pentagon documents show that during
    earlier hunger strikes, before the use of the restraint
    chairs, some detainees lost more than 30 pounds in
    a matter of weeks. By comparison, the current hunger
    strike — in which 12 of the 13 detainees were being
    force-fed as of Friday — seems almost symbolic.

    For instance, the medical records for Mr. Joudi,
    a 36-year-old Saudi, showed that when he was hospitalized
    on Feb. 10, he had been fasting for 31 days and had
    lost more than 15 percent of his body weight.

    By the time he was transferred a few days later to
    a “feeding block” where more serious hunger strikers
    are segregated from other prisoners, his condition
    had stabilized and his weight was nearly back to an
    ideal level for a man his size. (His exact weight
    gain was not recorded.) Mr. Joudi was subsequently
    flown home and turned over to the Saudi authorities,
    his lawyer said.

    Lawyers for several detainees held in the new maximum
    security complex, known as Camp 6, compared it to
    “supermax” prisons in the United States. The major
    differences, they said, are that the detainees have
    limited reading material and no television, and only
    10 of the Guantánamo prisoners have been charged.

    The Camp 6 inmates are generally locked in their
    8-foot-by-10-foot cells for at least 22 hours a day,
    emerging only to exercise in small wire cages and
    to shower. Besides those times, they can talk with
    other prisoners only by shouting through food slots
    in the steel doors of their cells.

    “My wish is to die,” one reported hunger striker
    in the camp, Adnan Farhan Abdullatif, a 27-year old
    Yemeni, told his lawyer on Feb. 27, according
    to recently declassified notes of the meeting.
    “We are living in a dying situation.”

    Commander Durand, the Guantánamo spokesman, dismissed
    such accounts as part of an effort by the prisoners
    and their lawyers to discredit the detention mission.
    He described the new unit as much more comfortable
    than the detainees’ previous quarters, and denied
    that they suffered any greater sense of isolation
    in the new cell blocks.

    “This was designed to improve living conditions,”
    Commander Durand said, “and we think it has.”

    Camp 6 was originally designed as a modern, medium-
    security prison complex for up to 200 inmates, with
    common areas where they could gather for meals and
    a large fenced athletic field where they could jog
    or play soccer outside the high concrete walls.

    But after a riot last May and the suicides of three
    prisoners in June, the unit was retrofitted before
    opening to limit the detainees’ freedom and reduce
    the risk that they might hurt themselves or attack
    guards, military officials said.

    As Camp 6 was opening, senior officials expressed
    concern about how prisoners would react to its greater
    isolation. Most had been held in makeshift blocks
    of wire-mesh cells that — while often hot, noisy and
    lacking privacy — allowed them to communicate easily,
    pray together and even pass written messages.

    Guantánamo’s other maximum-security unit, Camp 5,
    has cells that face each other across a short hallway,
    allowing the roughly 100 detainees there to converse
    fairly easily. In Camp 6, the prisoners can see one
    another from their cells only when one of them is being
    moved. At other times, they look out on the stainless-
    steel picnic tables in the common areas they are not
    allowed to use.

    Lawyers for several Camp 6 detainees said their clients
    were despondent about the move even though, as military
    officials note, the new cells are 27 square feet larger
    than the old ones and have air-conditioning, nicer toilets
    and sinks, and a small desk anchored to the wall.

    “They’re just sitting on a powder keg down there,” said
    one lawyer, Sabin Willett, who, like others, described
    growing desperation among the prisoners. “You’re going
    to have an insane asylum.”

    Lawyers who visited Guantánamo recently said the detainees
    reported a higher number of hunger strikers than had
    the military — perhaps 40 or more. Military officials said
    there were sometimes “stealth hunger strikers,” who pretend
    to eat or surreptitiously vomit after eating, but they
    dismissed the detainees’ estimates as exaggerations.

    Because reporters are prevented from speaking with detainees
    or visiting most of their cell blocks, it is difficult
    to verify the conflicting accounts.

    Hunger strikes have been part of life at Guantánamo
    almost since the detention center opened in January 2002.

    They reached a peak in September 2005, when more than
    130 detainees were classified as hunger strikers,
    having refused at least nine consecutive meals, military
    records show. As the strikes went on, some detainees
    being force-fed continued to lose weight by vomiting
    or siphoning their stomachs with the feeding tubes.
    But by early February 2006, shortly after the military
    began using restraint chairs during the forced feedings,
    the number of hunger strikers plunged to three.

    The number rose again sharply but briefly last May,
    reaching 86 after three detainees attempted suicide
    and a riot broke out as the guards searched for contraband.
    Yet even then, no more than seven strikers were forced
    into the restraint chair regimen.

    Three detainees who had been hunger strikers hung
    themselves on June 10. After July, no more than three
    detainees subjected themselves to extended forced feeding.

    That number began to grow again as detainees were
    moved into Camp 6 in December. By mid-March, the
    number of hunger strikers reached 17. For the first
    time, as many as 15 detainees continued with the
    strikes despite being force-fed in the restraint
    chairs.

    Military officials have described the restraint chair
    regimen as unpleasant but necessary. They originally
    said prisoners needed to be restrained while digesting,
    so they could not purge what they were fed.

    Now, the rationale has changed. The restraints are
    generally applied “for safety of the detainee and
    medical staff,” records show, and they are kept on
    for as little as 15 minutes at a time, rather than
    the two hours commonly used before. Afterward, the
    prisoners are moved to a “dry cell” and monitored
    to make sure they do not vomit.

    Even so, some detainees describe the experience as
    painful, even gruesome.

    One Sudanese detainee, Sami al-Hajj, a 38-year-old
    former cameraman for Al Jazeera, described feeling
    at one point that he could not bear the tube for another
    instant. “I said I would begin to scream unless they
    took it out,” he wrote in a recent diary entry given
    to his lawyer. “They finally did.”

    Stephen H. Oleskey, who represents Saber Lahmar, an
    Algerian religious scholar whom military officials
    accused of propagating a religious legal ruling that
    was linked to the suicides, said of his client: “The
    man has been in segregation — virtual isolation —
    for over nine months. Physically and emotionally,
    he’s collapsing. We think this punishment does
    exceed what the law allows, and that he won’t
    survive.”

    Military officials said Mr. Lahmar and other detainees
    had received adequate medical attention.

    Margot Williams and William Glaberson contributed reporting.

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    18) Army Is Cracking Down on Deserters
    By PAUL von ZIELBAUER
    April 9, 2007
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/09/us/09awol.html?ref=us

    Army prosecutions of desertion and other unauthorized
    absences have risen sharply in the last four years,
    resulting in thousands more negative discharges and
    prison time for both junior soldiers and combat-tested
    veterans of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, Army
    records show.

    The increased prosecutions are meant to serve as a
    deterrent to a growing number of soldiers who are
    ambivalent about heading — or heading back — to Iraq
    and may be looking for a way out, several Army lawyers
    said in interviews. Using courts-martial for these
    violations, which before 2002 were treated mostly
    as unpunished nuisances, is a sign that active-duty
    forces are being stretched to their limits, military
    lawyers and mental health experts said.

    “They are scraping to get people to go back, and people
    are worn out,” said Dr. Thomas Grieger, a senior Navy
    psychiatrist. Though there are no current studies to
    show how combat stress affects desertion rates, Dr. Grieger
    cited several examples of soldiers absconding or refusing
    to return to Iraq because of psychiatric reasons brought
    on by wartime deployments.

    At an Army base in Alaska last year, for example, “there
    was one guy who literally chopped off his trigger finger
    with an axe to prevent his deployment,” Dr. Grieger said
    in an interview.

    The Army prosecuted desertion far less often in the late
    1990s, when desertions were more frequent, than it does
    now, when there are comparatively fewer.

    From 2002 through 2006, the average annual rate of Army
    prosecutions of desertion tripled compared with the five-
    year period from 1997 to 2001, to roughly 6 percent
    of deserters, from 2 percent, Army data shows.

    Between these two five-year spans — one prewar and one
    during wartime — prosecutions for similar crimes,
    like absence without leave or failing to appear for
    unit missions, have more than doubled, to an average
    of 390 per year from an average of 180 per year,
    Army data shows.

    In total, the Army since 2002 has court-martialed
    twice as many soldiers for desertion and other unauthorized
    absences as it did on average each year between 1997
    and 2001. Deserters are soldiers who leave a post
    or fail to show up for an assignment with the intent
    to stay away. Soldiers considered absent without leave,
    or AWOL, which presumes they plan to return, are classified
    as deserters and dropped from a unit’s rolls after 30 days.

    Most soldiers who return from unauthorized absences
    are punished and discharged. Few return to regular duty.

    Officers said the crackdown reflected an awareness by
    top Army and Defense Department officials that desertions,
    which occurred among more than 1 percent of the active-duty
    force in 2000 for the first time since the post-Vietnam era,
    were in a sustained upswing again after ebbing in 2003,
    the first year of the Iraq war.

    At the same time, the increase highlights a cycle long
    known to Army researchers: as the demand for soldiers
    increases during a war, desertions rise and the Army
    tends to lower enlistment standards, recruiting more
    people with questionable backgrounds who are far more
    likely to become deserters.

    In the 2006 fiscal year, 3,196 soldiers deserted, the
    Army said, a figure that has been climbing since the 2004
    fiscal year, when 2,357 soldiers absconded. In the first
    quarter of the current fiscal year, which began Oct. 1,
    871 soldiers deserted, a rate that, if it stays on pace,
    would produce 3,484 desertions for the fiscal year, an
    8 percent increase over 2006.

    The Army said the desertion rate was within historical
    norms, and that the surge in prosecutions, which are
    at the discretion of unit commanders, was not a surprise
    given the impact that absent soldiers can have during
    wartime.

    “The nation is at war, and the Army treats the offense
    of desertion more seriously,” Maj. Anne D. Edgecomb,
    an Army spokeswoman, said. “The Army’s leadership will
    take whatever measures they believe are appropriate
    if they see a continued upward trend in desertion,
    in order to maintain the health of the force.”

    Army studies and interviews also suggest a link between
    the rising rate of desertions and the expanding use
    of moral waivers to recruit people with poor academic
    records and low-level criminal convictions. At least
    1 in 10 deserters surveyed after returning to the Army
    from 2002 to mid-2004 required a waiver to enter the
    service, a report by the Army Research Institute found.

    “We’re enlisting more dropouts, people with more law
    violations, lower test scores, more moral issues,”
    said a senior noncommissioned officer involved in
    Army personnel and recruiting. “We’re really scraping
    the bottom of the barrel trying to get people to join.”
    (Army officials agreed to discuss the issue on the
    condition that they not be quoted by name.)

    The officer said the Army National Guard last week
    authorized 34 states and Guam to enlist the lowest-
    ranking group of eligible recruits, those who scored
    between 16 and 30 on the armed services aptitude test.
    Federal law bars recruits who scored lower than
    16 from enlisting.

    Desertions, while a chronic problem for the Army,
    are nowhere near as common as they were at the height
    of the Vietnam War. From 1968 to 1971, for instance,
    about 5 percent of enlisted men deserted.

    But the rate of desertion today, after four years
    of fighting two ground wars, is “being taken much more
    seriously because we were losing so many soldiers out
    of the Army that there was a recognized need to attack
    the problem from a different way,” said an Army criminal
    defense lawyer.

    In interviews, the lawyer and two other Army lawyers
    each traced the spike in prosecutions to a policy
    change at the beginning of 2002 that required
    commanders to welcome back soldiers who deserted
    or went AWOL.

    Before that, most deserters, who are often young,
    undistinguished soldiers who have fallen out of favor
    with their sergeants, were given administrative
    separations and sent home with other-than-honorable
    discharges.

    The new policy, ordered by the secretary of the army,
    effectively eliminated the incentive among squad
    sergeants to urge returning AWOL soldiers to stay
    away for at least 30 days, when they would be
    classified as deserters under the old rules and
    dropped from the roll.

    But some unit commanders, wary of scrutiny from
    their